DraftKings Xfinity NASCAR DFS – Cook Out 250 – April 9, 2021 – FantasyCruncher.com DFS Articles & Insights – fantasycruncher.com

Core Plays

Justin Allgaier – DK: $10,200 – Starting 2nd

We travel to the shortest track in racing this week at Martinsville as drivers will take to the .526 mile paperclip. In what is a tough track to pass at due to everyone trying to play the bottom groove, we will want to prioritize the front a little bit more for dominator points this week instead of heavily focusing on place differential. There is nothing wrong with focusing differential, but if we are going to do that we will want to look to do it deep in the pack as it can be a slower grind to the front. Harrison Burton won this race last year while leading over 80 laps and he starts on the pole this week. While I do like Burton to an extent, I think Allgaier is the more polished driver and has a strong chance to grab the lead early. Allgaier has a few things working in his favor here and that is his current form and past success on short tracks. Allgaier claimed the win in Atlanta last race out, leading 47 laps and having 29 of the fastest. The week prior we had an 8th place finish in Phoenix and a 14th in Vegas. This marks three straight races of 54 fantasy points or higher after a rough February to start the year. Allgaier finished 2nd at Martinsville last year, 5th at Bristol, and a sweep of wins at Virginia (all tracks less than a mile in length).

Stefan Parsons – DK: $5,200 – Starting 38th

While value is often hard to land on at the Xfinity level with any form of confidence level, Stefan Parsons appears to be way too cheap this weekend in what will likely lead him to being a chalky low-priced option with his 38th starting position. Parsons has run four races this year with an average finish of 24th – this includes a 13th and 18th finish sandwiched around some more disappointing results at Vegas and Miami. In all, Parsons has had way more success at small tracks, finishing 18th at the mile-long at Phoenix and a 24th finish last year here at Martinsville. We also got a 24th place finish out of Parsons at Bristol. An important factor for me is Parsons has finished five of his last six races and appears to at least have a car that is going to be competitive in the field. Passing at Martinsville is not that easy as it’s a heavy bottom lane track, so with a lot of bumping, we can’t really predict who will get overly aggressive here. We are looking for Parsons to just finish this field in the 22-28 range.

Cheat Sheet

$ Tier D
High AJ Allmendinger (11.9k / 46.73)
Austin Cindric (11.5k / 46.54)
Justin Allgaier (10.2k / 50.40)
Medium Harrison Burton (9.3k / 39.58)
Josh Berry (8k / 34.75)
Brandon Gdovic (7.5k / 39.27)
J.J. Yeley (7.3k / 30.94)
Low Gray Gaulding (5.8k / 30.85)
Stefan Parsons (5.2k / 29.96)
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