Every day this season, our team shares who we believe has the best chance to leave the yard. From one-off plays to core parts of daily stacks, we hope this fun article will help you build winning MLB DFS lineups along the way.
As always, FantasyCruncher has several daily articles from pitching to stacking, to home run picks, to general cheat sheets to help you build your daily lineups. And the best news, it is all free! This year for 2022, we are changing up the scoring for the home run calls to be weighted based on the player’s salary. If one of our writers chooses a player with a salary over $5,000 it will be worth 0.5 points. Between $4-$4.9k is 1 point, $3-$3.9k is 2 points, and anyone $2.9k or below is worth 3 points. In terms of salary, we are going off of DraftKings salary for this article. Again, the scoring system is just a fun and friendly competition between our MLB content writers.
Today’s Picks
James: Trey Mancini ($4,000) – Detmers had a no-hitter earlier in the year but has found himself in AAA as of late after some poor results. Detmers has not made an MLB start since 6/21 and over his last two starts has gone 8.2 innings, allowing nine hits, nine earned, and four long balls. Detmers leans on a 4-seamer that carries high implied totals against it and pitches to a flyball% over 31%. Mancini sees lefties well and carries an expected slugging of .610 against fastballs. Mancini’s power game hasn’t come online yet, despite holding the highest flyball rate of his career and best barrel percentage.
Zach: Vinnie Pasquantino ($2,800) – I like picking on bad pitchers, and that’s exactly the situation we have here with Aaron Civale going against the Royals. Pasquantino hasn’t made a huge splash just yet in his limited time with the club, but we all know how elite his raw power is based on his MiLB stats (.250+ ISO at each of his minor league stops and a .401+ wOBA at each, too). He’s actually been unlucky thus far with the Royals, seeing a .439 xwOBA compared to just a .271 wOBA in reality, given a strong 12.5% barrel rate, 50% hard hit rate and 95.3 mph EV average. Results are coming, and I love the matchup in this one for a guy under $3,000 here.
Jared: Aaron Hicks ($2,500) – After watching most of the Red Sox / Yankees game last night and seeing how locked-in Hicks looks at the plate, this is a hard one to pass up. Especially against Connor Seabold, who hasn’t yet proven he can be effective at the MLB level (6.45 FIP, 5.36 xERA through his first 8.2 IP). In his last 5 games, he leads the Yankees with a 307 wRC+ and .600 wOBA mark, has a 21.4% barrel rate and 17.7 degree launch angle. Needless to say, he’s swinging it great right now, and in a HR-friendly park tonight, he’s a pick that I really feel good about.
Overall Standings
| James | 22.5 (18 total home runs) |
| Zach | 31.5 (20 total home runs) |
| Jared | 22 (16 total home runs) |
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