The series heads back to Colorado tonight after Tampa stayed alive with a 3-2 win in Game 5, putting the series at 3-2 for Colorado. The Avs will take a second shot at trying to win the cup tonight in an elimination game. The line is set at -175 for Colorado in a game with a projected total of six, and we’ll see if tonight is the night where Colorado can get it done and finally show that Vasilevskiy is not an impenetrable force in elimination games.
By now, when their backs are against the wall I think it is clear that Tampa will try and clog things up and focus on playing quality defensive hockey. That has been their gameplan whenever faced with elimination throughout the entire playoffs. As a result, I think it is likely that we will see a low scoring game, personally – I like the under here. With that said, if you think that Colorado can break through, I could see the path to loading up on Avs tonight and going over-weight with exposure there.
If you think that the game will be low scoring, I don’t hate the idea of loading up on exposure to Vasilevskiy and then go under-weight on a few of the stars on both sides in this one from a game theory standpoint. I could see a path to a 3-1, 3-2 type of game ,and if that is the case as we have seen time and time again, if you sprinkle exposure across more than most of the field, you can get an edge up if you get exposure to some players that are under used by the field. I think the range of outcomes for tonight’s game is pretty wide overall – but this is one idea, leaving some salary on the table that I think could pay off in large field MME GPP formats.
Enjoy Game 6 tonight!
