Every day this season, our team shares who we believe has the best chance to leave the yard. From one-off plays to core parts of daily stacks, we hope this fun article will help you build winning lineups along the way.
Welcome back MLB DFS grinders to the 2022 season! As always, FantasyCruncher will have several daily articles from pitching to stacking, to home run picks, to general cheat sheets to help you build your daily lineups. And the best news, it is all free! This year for 2022, we are changing up the scoring for the home run calls to be weighted based on the player’s salary. If one of our writers chooses a player with a salary over $5,000 it will be worth 0.5 points. Between $4-$4.9k is 1 point, $3-$3.9k is 2 points, and anyone $2.9k or below is worth 3 points. In terms of salary, we are going off of DraftKings salary for this article. Again, the scoring system is just a fun and friendly competition between our MLB content writers.
Today’s Picks
James: Alex Bregman ($4,800) – Patrick Corbin may not be giving up home runs so far in 2022, but he is giving up an elevated line drive rate, and let us not forget the 35 homers allowed to righties last year. The metrics are all in the blue here, meaning Corbin ranks in the lower half of all advanced stats here. The sinker is currently “working” for Corbin, but the expected average and slugging on it is way above its current rank. Tick tock is how I feel here as I think luck has been on Corbin’s side and is due to run out. Righties have mashed Corbin over the last two years and I am bound to chase this play until it pays off.
Zach: Ke’Bryan Hayes ($4,200) – Hayes has exactly as many home runs on this season as I do. While taking a player with zero home runs on the year is certainly a huge risk I like Hayes to go deep for the first time this season due to his match-up against Hunter Greene. Greene is a great young pitcher with a huge future ahead of him but right now he struggles to keep the ball in the park. Greene has allowed 11 home runs in his 26 innings for an HR/9 rate of 3.81. Greene has struggled the most against right-handed hitters allowing eight home runs to them while allowing them to slug .729.
Jared: Dan Vogelbach ($4,700) – The Pirates don’t have any elite hitters in their lineup as they’ve more or less reset the clock and started to rebuild. That said, there are still some players with thump in the lineup that can do damage if they get set up with the right matchup. That’s where I see Vogelbach’s power potential come into play. While Hunter Greene has primarily struggled against RHBs, LHBs still have elite numbers against him this year (.396 wOBA, .529 SLG and a 2.25 HR/9 rate). Meanwhile, the Pittsburgh 1B has a .389 ISO, .470 wOBA and 205 wRC+ with a 95.1 mph EV average in his last 23 PA, and has as good a shot as any to leave the yard here.
Overall Standings
| James | 11.5 (10 total home runs) |
| Zach | 10.5 (6 total home runs) |
| Jared | 16.5 (10 total home runs) |
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