High Dollar Option
We enter the last week of the Summer Split and three matches to go for teams. There is only one team who has clinched a playoff spot as of now and that is Mad Lions, though only one game separates them from the #1 seed and the #5 seed. Astralis, Excel, and Fnatic all sit at 7-8 for a battle for the #6 seed, and G2, Misfits, Rogue, and Team Vitality all sit tied at 9-6. This is shaping up to being one of the wildest last weeks and likely wildest Playoffs as it really feels like anyone’s race. So we are looking at some incredibly high-stress matchups this week. It is hard to ignore the top with Misfits this week, despite being the most expensive option at four of the five positions. Despite the price, the data begs us to play them as they are averaging 14.1 kills per game going against a team averaging 14.5 deaths per game. Misfits team death total has crept down every week – now at 13.5. Misfits have also yet to lose a game with Zanzarah as their new jungler. After starting the split 0-4, they have gone 9-2 since.
Outside of Misfits, Rogue and Vitality are my next preferred options. Excel has now lost four straight games and all in pretty big fashion. It is the wrong time to go absolutely ice cold, but having to face off against Rogue is not the matchup that will straighten this team out quickly.
Value Option(s)
For the value this week I am looking at Astralis against Fnatic. Fair warning, I have struggled to get Astralis right this split, but they have been a pretty inconsistent team who has sometimes played up to competition, but also played down and taken losses. While Fnatic is favored here, the kill data points in Astalis’ direction more as they have a team K:D of 0.99 while Fnatic is at 0.87. Astralis is averaging around a kill more a game and half a death fewer when compared to Fnatic. Some objective data is also incredibly equal here, as only 0.07% separates the Dragon% from both teams here so we can expect some battles for objective here. Fnatic has led the league in creeps per minute and Astralis leads in damage. While Fnatic has a strong CPM, the jungle play has greatly favored Astralis with Xerxe holding the best CS score, gold, and highest KDA in the entire LEC. With just average top and mid-lane play, the jungler figures to play a huge role in this one. Without exaggeration, this is likely the biggest game in Astralis’ history in the LEC and while they are just 1-6 lifetime against Fnatic, this is not the same Fnatic team from the last two years. The winner here has the inside track to a playoff spot.
| $ Tier | CPTN | TOP | JNG | MID | ADC | SUP | TEAM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | Neon (12.3k / 37.035) | Irrelevant (6.8k / 18.81) | Haru (7.2k / 19.43) | Vetheo (8k / 20.98) | Neon (8.2k / 24.69) | Mersa (6.4k / 17.29) | Misfits (5.8k / 18.19) |
| Comp (11.7k / 40.005) | Alphari (6.6k / 17.76) | Zanzarah (7k / 19.07) | Perkz (7.4k / 19.81) | Labrov (5.6k / 15.32) | Team Vitality (5.4k / 16.84) | ||
| Medium | Perkz (11.1k / 29.715) | Broken Blade (5.8k / 19.21) | Xerxe (6.4k / 19.82) | Caps (6.8k / 21.65) | Carzzy (7.2k / 21.43) | Targamas (5.2k / 14.85) | G2 Esports (4.6k / 12.66) |
| Carzzy (10.8k / 32.145) | Kobbe (7k / 21.70) | ||||||
| Zanzarah (10.5k / 28.605) | Flakked (6.8k / 19.52) | ||||||
| Kobbe (10.5k / 32.550) | |||||||
| Low | Flakked (10.2k / 29.280) | Vizicsacsi (5.6k / 13.89) | Jankos (6.2k / 18.60) | Dajor (6.6k / 20.09) | JeongHoon (5k / 13.23) | Astralis (4.4k / 12.17) | |
| Xerxe (9.6k / 29.730) | |||||||
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