How to Win in MLB DFS: Analyzing Winning DraftKings GPP Lineups – July 13, 2022 – FantasyCruncher.com DFS Articles & Insights – fantasycruncher.com

Tuesday nights Relay Throw gave us 14 games to choose from with 100K up top!

Congrats to “getloose” who entered 150 lineups in total, cashing 61, and finishing first and third!


We had a 14-game slate on Tuesday so the expected high fantasy scores were there. However, of the 14 games, 8 of them featured teams who scored five or fewer runs. So when it came to slate-breaking offensive performances, it really started and stopped with the A’s/Rangers game with 21 total runs and the Giants scoring 13. Big performances from Thairo Estrada, David Villar, Austin Slater, and Yermin Mercedes were the guys needed and all came in at under 8% ownership when it was all said and done.

On the pitcher side, Gerrit Cole and Dylan Cease both ended up as the first and third highest owned arms on the slate, but chasing the chalk arms didn’t hurt at all here when they combine for a 65+ fantasy points. It was really a night where a lot of starting arms turned in good starts – there weren’t any huge blowups as even Spencer Strider who carried near 40% ownership still managed 19.7 fantasy points. The contrast here is always going to change on the philosophy of “chasing chalk” arms and on a 14-game slate, I may have been the guy to tell you it was a good slate to get different. But there were a ton of options here with Cole, Berrios, Cease, Webb, Kluber, Garcia, Sale, and Strider so naturally, the chalk combinations were going to land when 150-maxing.

Four Giants bats ranked in the top seven players on the slate in actual value and Mercedes and Estrada were the two highest offensive scorers on the slate. “getloose” also benefited from two of his one-offs in Robert and Turner scoring 23 or more.

The Winning Lineup:

Salary Used: $49,100 | Pitcher Ownership: 75.7%

Lineup Construction | Place in the Batting Order

5 man: 1-2-3-5-6

one-offs: 2-3-4

Key Takeaway:  Sometimes staying safe with arms and matching it with a stack that isn’t super high owned is the sauce. Cole and Cease were two of the highest-owned arms but it doesn’t matter if they perform. We can argue ownership leverage all day but if your pitchers score 65 combined fantasy points it won’t matter their ownership number. Dallas Keuchel had the mound for the D-Backs and this stack went heavy on right-handed batters. When the metrics point us somewhere, we shouldn’t be surprised when it hits. You need a little luck when not running a secondary stack, but if your three one-offs get you 57 fantasy points you are going to do just fine. Not pictured here is “getloose” also taking third with another Giants five-man stack with an entirely different set of one-offs and Logan Webb instead of Cease. When the stack core hits the sky is the limit. Congrats to “getloose” on the big payday!


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