DraftKings Xfinity NASCAR DFS – Nalley Cars 250 – March 19, 2022 – FantasyCruncher.com DFS Articles & Insights – fantasycruncher.com

Core Plays

Noah Gragson – $10,700 – Starting 1st

Nascar lands in Atlanta this weekend at the new Atlanta Motor Speedway. I say new, as the banking has changed here from 24 degrees to 28 degrees, which is promoting a quicker, more aggressive style of racing on the 1.5-mile track. The track is also freshly paved so we can just simply expect more speed than we were used to at this track. So when we factor in historical stats here, they are a grain of salt-ish, as we have no real data with the factored in changes. One thing we do know so far this season is Noah Gragson and his new crew are here to be a big problem. In four races on the year, Gragson has finished first, second, second, and third. Last week at Phoenix, Gragson led 114 laps while turning in 42 of the fastest. The week prior at Vegas, Gragson led 52 laps and turned in 35 of the fastest, and at Fontana, Gragson led 25 laps and turned in 19 of the fastest. It is now three straight races of 60 or higher fantasy points. With the laps led and the fast laps, we are getting so many peripheral points that where Gragson starts is almost irrelevant. The equipment here is amazing and in the current form, the only thing keeping Gragson out of the optimal lineup weekly is something that we aren’t going to be able to control. You might see Gragson’s name here a lot this season at this pace, but before I get ahead of myself I am just going to ride out a hot hand here until I can’t anymore. The front of the line starting spot is always risky, but as long Gragson leads some laps and stays top-5, we are going to be looking at a potential high score.

Bayley Currey – $5,300 – Starting 20th

Sometimes while we want to deep dive into the data and pick and choose our way to value there is just a clearer pricing error that we must just take advantage of instead. Bayley Currey is just $5,300 here, which is $400 and $600 cheaper than his last two races. In four races on the year, Currey has turned in two over 30 fantasy points and last week’s 20th place finish only looked back because he started 13th. Currey though has always done better at intermediate-size tracks – in his last four races on 1.5-mile tracks, Currey has an average fantasy score of 42.25 per race. This is an 18th at Vegas, 16th at Kansas, 48 at Texas, and 54.35 at Vegas dating back to last year. Currey’s last run here wasn’t spectacular, but with so much different with the track Currey is well worth the dart here at this price and mid range starting spot.

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