Fnatic is going to be the easy suggest here, as they open at -355 favorites over last place SK Gaming. Fnatic have shown time and time again that their engagement rate and just overal KDA stand above other combined teams right now. While we aren’t going to hit with Fnatic every slate, when they do hit their ceiling, they will usually fall as a four-stack optimal. Fnatic got scorched by Rogue on Friday, but that was a game that was decided very early with the Rogue jungle having eight kills at the 10-minute mark. That being said, Fnatic are extremly expensive on this slate, topping each position. In times like this, we either need a sure fire value play to offset or some creativity in roster constuction. Luckily for us, there are two other marquee matchups on this slate in G2 vs Misfits and Mad Lions against Rogue. While Misfits and Mad Lions are between +130 and +145 underdogs, they are priced near the bottom of the pricing, below players on Schalke for example. While there is value in a Schalke/Astralis matchup that could feature sloppy play (we saw Astralis out-kill Mad Lions on Friday but still take a loss), I prefer to put my stake in good players in tough matchups, rather than bad players in a good matchup. Fnatic is my prefered starting point here with a three-stack from Misfits or Mad Lions. Some strange pricing on Wunder in TOP lane for G2 may be enough to unlock G2 stacks a bit easier here, while Vitality desreves a little exposure as well against Excel in a playoff push. Ultimately though, it is hard to ignore the 3.77 kills per game or higher on four Fnatic starters against a team where everyone is averaging near 2.5 deaths per game.
Cheat Sheet
| $ Tier | CPTN | TOP | JNG | MID | ADC | SUP | TEAM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | Nisqy (11.7k / 42.825) (13.35k / 42.825) | Adam (7.2k / 23.45) (8.2k / 23.45) | Bwipo (7.6k / 25.20) (8.6k / 25.20) | Nisqy (7.8k / 28.55) (8.9k / 28.55) | Upset (8.2k / 28.21) (10.2k / 28.21) | Hylissang (6.2k / 17.98) (7.4k / 17.98) | Fnatic (5.8k / 18.18) (7.9k / 18.18) |
| Bwipo (11.4k / 37.800) (12.9k / 37.800) | Szygenda (6.6k / 19.47) (8.1k / 19.47) | SelfMade (7.2k / 15.08) (8.5k / 15.08) | Labrov (6k / 20.01) (7.3k / 20.01) | Team Vitality (5.4k / 17.46) (7.8k / 17.46) | |||
| Medium | Jeskla (10.5k / 28.950) (11.85k / 28.950) | Wunder (6k / 19.43) (7.9k / 19.43) | Zanzarah (6.6k / 16.21) (7.8k / 16.21) | LIDER (7k / 18.91) (10.1k / 18.91) | Crownshot (7.2k / 25.12) (8.3k / 25.12) | promisq (5.2k / 12.47) (6.9k / 12.47) | Astralis (4.6k / 12.96) (7.4k / 12.96) |
| LIDER (10.5k / 28.365) (15.15k / 28.365) | MagiFelix (6.8k / 18.72) (9.7k / 18.72) | Jeskla (7k / 19.30) (7.9k / 19.30) | |||||
| MagiFelix (10.2k / 28.080) (14.55k / 28.080) | |||||||
| Low | Carzzy (9.9k / 27.225) (14.25k / 27.225) | Armut (5.6k / 14.85) (7.5k / 14.85) | Elyoya (6k / 18.23) (9k / 18.23) | Humanoid (6.2k / 17.55) (8.8k / 17.55) | Carzzy (6.6k / 18.15) (9.5k / 18.15) | Kaiser (5k / 13.49) (6.7k / 13.49) | MAD Lions (4.2k / 12.91) (7.2k / 12.91) |
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