
Core Plays
Christopher Bell – DK: $11,500 – Starting 14th
We head to the 1.058-mile oval of New Hampshire Motor Speedway this weekend for the Ambetter Get Vaccinated 200. My top play and core play this week is Christopher Bell and it comes for pretty easy reasons to highlight. First off, this is a course that Christopher Bell has absolutely destroyed in two previous races. In two career starts here, Bell has won both times, and led a combined 279 laps. While it may take Bell a little longer to reach the front starting 14th in this race (he has started second in both of his previous two races) the tradeoff there is just more place differential for Bell to grab. Not only that, but Bell will be in the #54 car this week, the same car that Kyle Busch has dominated the Xfinity circuit in so far this season. In Bell’s previous two races here at New Hampshire, he has scored 143 and 82 fantasy points. Bell will likely be high owned, but if you go back and read a majority of my Xfinity articles you will find me saying sometimes ownership doesn’t matter. Look at the Kyle Busch victories on the season – he was optimal in each race and you needed him to cash high. Sometimes fading due to ownership works, but in Nascar it can have the exact opposite effect when you absolutely will need person X to cash a lineup high. When it comes to dominator upside (laps led and fast laps), we have it here with Bell and the differential upside exists as well. Form + Equipment + Confidence is big for me here, and Bell is the top play this week based around the ceiling he can achieve.
Josh Williams – DK: $6,100 – Starting 20th
I will be the first to admit that I wish Williams was starting just a little bit further back in the pack here because we don’t have a ton of wiggle room for him to slid into negative differential for us. That being said, Williams has netted back-to-back top 20 finishes over his last two races and has finished 21st or better in six of his last seven races. Williams’ last two races on 1-mile tracks have netted him a 21st and 10th place finish. Williams has netted 25 or more fantasy points in five of his last seven races. The value tier for us in this race is really variable (like most Xfinity events) and I have no issues with punting a Dexter Bean or Kyle Weatherman play here either. I just don’t have enough confidence in either to say they are a core play for me.
Cheat Sheet
$ Tier | D |
---|---|
High | Christopher Bell (11.5k / 60.31) |
Justin Allgaier (11.1k / 54.99) | |
Austin Cindric (10.7k / 52.12) | |
Josh Berry (10.4k / 51.44) | |
Harrison Burton (9.6k / 49.76) | |
Medium | J.J. Yeley (8.4k / 42.28) |
Riley Herbst (8k / 35.74) | |
Jordan Anderson (7.6k / 35.41) | |
Brandon Gdovic (7.3k / 25.92) | |
Low | Jeremy Clements (6.8k / 30.07) |
Jeffrey Earnhardt (6.2k / 21.35) | |
Josh Williams (6.1k / 24.84) | |
Dexter Bean (5.4k / 8.72) | |
Kyle Weatherman (5.3k / 10.46) |