DraftKings & FanDuel League of Legends (LoL) Cheat Sheet – LPL/LCK – July 7, 2021 – FantasyCruncher.com DFS Articles & Insights – fantasycruncher.com

Damwon and Liiv Sandbox kick off the slate tonight with Damwon a -247 favorite here. Damwon has called up Rahel from their Academy roster, but after a 2-0 win over GenG last week, I have to believe that Damwon sticks with their normal starting five unless there is a piece of news I have missed. That being said, DraftKings priced Rahel higher than Ghost, and Malrang higher than Canyon at Jungle. I believe this to be in error, but we will definitely get starting rosters before the slate locks tonight so adjustments can be made. Liiv and Damwon share an equal 5-3 record, with LSB on a three-game winning streak. LSB has been propelled here off the back of their MID/BOT combo of FATE and Prince and will need another big performance to pull the upset here. While a share or two of LSB are in order, the pricing for Damwon makes them way too easy of a play here with deep discounts on Canyon and Ghost. Liiv could push this to three, but I greatly edge Damwon here.

Our other LCK match pits Afreeca against Nongshim which is a matchup of two teams I view through the same lens. Both of these teams are also 5-3, with similar games records, with Nongshim being slightly better at 12-10. When it comes to farming and gold, Afreeca have been the better team here, with Leo and Kiin in the top ten for both CS/M and G/M. Leo and Dread also hold spots in the top 10 for kills per game, while both supports are in the top 10 for assists. This match has three games all over it for me, and while Nongshim have been a preferred play for me all year, I think Afreeca has some small statistical edges here. This is actually my favorite match to watch tonight, which might sound silly, but these teams just match up so incredibly well. I will be splitting exposure here, though neither are going to have a ton of four-stack exposure.

LGD and RNG are our first LPL match on this slate and I am really running out of ways to defend RNG at this point. I say it every article, but RNG won the Spring Split and the Mid-Season Invitational, and now sit at just 1-5 on the Summer. To defend them, yet again, their last three losses have all been in three games and all extremely close games – all three were also against projected playoff teams. But to be deemed an elite team, you need to win these matches, and it almost seems mental for RNG now. If you looked at stats for this split and hid the RNG record, you would not guess they were a 1-5 team, with GALA still ranking out as one of the best players in the LPL. There is no easy route for RNG today as they face an LGD that probably has my “favorite team” backing right now as they are getting insane play out of their TOP and JNG in Fearness and Shad0w. Not to mention Mark at support ranking fifth in assists and Shadow just behind in ninth. Kramer, Xiye, and Fearness all sit top-15 for kills per game as well. When LGD clicks and plays well, they have a ceiling unmatched in the LPL right now. This is a confident LGD team against a not-so confident RNG team. RNG will put up a fight, but the aggressive LGD style raises their ceiling here. I will likely have more LGD than RNG at the end of this one.

FPX and BLG round us out here with FPX the largest favorite on this slate at -395. FPX is a frustrating team at times, dropping series randomly at random times against teams they are clearly better than. We just saw this against Invictus Gaming on the third, when they lost in a sweep. Previous to this game, FPX was on a three-game win streak against RNG, WE, and TT. BLG is just 3-4 this split, but they are 9-9 inside of games. BLG does have wins over LGD and OMG, who are the two surprise teams of this split, so the talent is certainly here to grab a game, or even the series from FPX. If BLG wants to win, it will come on the back of a big performance from Aiming, who ranks inside the top ranks for CS and Gold right now. In the end, FPX is the way better team, banking on an upset here is just trying to get lucky – over a large data of games here, FPX wins 80% of the time. There is enough value to be able to roster FPX here as well, so while they have a frustration factor, they are the better squad.

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